Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032959 0.036112 0.039310 0.042791 0.046467 0.050226 0.054355
2025-08-31 0.028930 0.033643 0.038601 0.044181 0.050260 0.056658 0.063877
2025-09-07 0.025624 0.031453 0.037786 0.045120 0.053322 0.062156 0.072337
2025-09-14 0.022809 0.029444 0.036870 0.045691 0.055780 0.066862 0.079858
2025-09-21 0.020298 0.027499 0.035785 0.045861 0.057618 0.070755 0.086395
2025-09-28 0.018831 0.026612 0.035785 0.047158 0.060651 0.075938 0.094354
2025-10-05 0.016615 0.024610 0.034286 0.046536 0.061325 0.078317 0.099040
2025-10-12 0.015033 0.023257 0.033453 0.046604 0.062722 0.081471 0.104571
2025-10-19 0.013895 0.022375 0.033119 0.047208 0.064706 0.085274 0.110839
2025-10-26 0.013048 0.021803 0.033117 0.048177 0.067097 0.089544 0.117653
2025-11-02 0.011209 0.019734 0.031061 0.046443 0.066072 0.089642 0.119451
2025-11-09 0.010080 0.018569 0.030116 0.046062 0.066672 0.091662 0.123518
2025-11-16 0.008989 0.017396 0.029123 0.045604 0.067188 0.093621 0.127583
2025-11-23 0.008597 0.017236 0.029504 0.046958 0.070021 0.098457 0.135189
2025-11-30 0.008102 0.016879 0.029582 0.047889 0.072306 0.102622 0.141998
2025-12-07 0.007540 0.016370 0.029413 0.048459 0.074112 0.106187 0.148079
2025-12-14 0.006912 0.015701 0.028970 0.048625 0.075364 0.109047 0.153291
2025-12-21 0.006654 0.015624 0.029381 0.049967 0.078172 0.113884 0.160981
2025-12-28 0.005906 0.014647 0.028402 0.049319 0.078301 0.115292 0.164378
2026-01-04 0.005398 0.014043 0.027951 0.049388 0.079369 0.117889 0.169264
2026-01-11 0.005060 0.013715 0.027901 0.050015 0.081181 0.121441 0.175356
2026-01-18 0.004828 0.013564 0.028116 0.051019 0.083508 0.125666 0.182316
2026-01-25 0.004043 0.012272 0.026453 0.049219 0.081941 0.124792 0.182769